Advanced Weather Forecast
Get accurate real-time weather forecasts, interactive charts, and interactive maps using open data.
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About this Weather Forecast
This page provides hyper-localized weather data using raw, unfiltered scientific model outputs. Unlike generic weather apps that often smooth or average out data, we provide direct access to the exact atmospheric variables predicted by the world's most advanced supercomputers.
Forecast Data Source & Methodology
- Primary API: Open-Meteo (Open-Source Weather API)
- Global Models: NOAA GFS (US), ECMWF (Europe), DWD ICON (Germany)
- Update Frequency: Every 1 to 6 hours depending on the active model run
- Time Zone: Automatically localized to the queried coordinates
Accuracy Disclaimer: Weather forecasting is inherently probabilistic due to atmospheric chaos theory. Predictions beyond 7 days are subject to significant variance. Please consult official meteorological agencies for severe weather warnings.
How Accurate is Open-Meteo?
Open-Meteo acts as an aggregator of national weather models. Its accuracy is identical to the underlying models it serves (such as the ECMWF and GFS). Because it doesn't try to mathematically interpolate or guess between grid points using proprietary algorithms, it is highly trusted by researchers, developers, and meteorologists who want unadulterated raw forecast data.
How to Compare Forecasts from Different Providers
If you check three different weather apps, you will likely see three different forecasts. This happens because Apple Weather, The Weather Channel, and AccuWeather all use different base models and apply their own proprietary smoothing algorithms to the data. To accurately compare them, you should look at the radar and hourly precipitation probability (PoP) rather than the daily summary icon, as the icon often fails to convey the timing and intensity of weather events.
Understanding Rainfall Probability
A common misconception is that a 60% chance of rain means it will rain 60% of the day, or that 60% of the area will see rain. In reality, Probability of Precipitation (PoP) is calculated by multiplying the meteorologist's confidence that rain will form by the percentage of the area expected to receive it. For example, if there is a 100% certainty that a storm will hit, but it will only cover 60% of your city, the forecast will say 60%.
Why Forecasts Change
The atmosphere is a dynamic, non-linear fluid. A storm system moving just 5 miles slower than predicted can completely alter the timing of rainfall for a city downwind. As weather balloons, satellites, and airplanes continuously feed new observational data into supercomputers, the models adjust their math, leading to shifting forecasts.
References & Official Sources
Frequently Asked Questions About Weather Forecasting
How accurate is a 14-day weather forecast?
While 1- to 3-day forecasts are highly accurate...
What is the difference between hourly and daily forecasts?
Hourly forecasts provide highly granular, short-term data predicting exact temperature, wind, and precipitation chances for every hour. Daily forecasts summarize the weather for an entire 24-hour period, providing the expected high/low temperatures and overarching conditions.
What does the 'Feels Like' temperature mean?
The 'Feels Like' or apparent temperature factors in relative humidity and wind speed. High humidity makes warm air feel hotter (heat index), while high winds make cold air feel colder (wind chill) by drawing heat away from the body.
How is rain probability calculated?
Precipitation probability (PoP) represents the statistical likelihood of measurable precipitation occurring at a specific point in the forecast area during the specified time period, combining confidence of rain and expected coverage.
Where does the weather data come from?
This tool uses the Open-Meteo API, which aggregates data from highly reliable global numerical weather prediction models, including NOAA's GFS and Europe's ECMWF, ensuring scientific accuracy without interpolation.
What is the UV Index and why does it matter?
The UV Index measures the strength of sunburn-producing ultraviolet radiation. Values of 0-2 require minimal protection, while 8 or higher means extreme risk of harm from unprotected sun exposure, requiring sunscreen, shade, and protective clothing.
How does atmospheric pressure predict the weather?
Changes in barometric pressure indicate atmospheric movement. Rising pressure generally signifies clearing skies and stable weather, whereas falling pressure often precedes clouds, storms, and precipitation.
Why does the forecast change frequently?
The atmosphere is incredibly dynamic. As new observational data (from satellites, radar, and weather balloons) enters the supercomputers, the models run new calculations, sometimes shifting the forecast slightly as a weather system evolves.
What is the dew point?
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes fully saturated with moisture (100% relative humidity). Dew points above 65°F feel 'muggy', while those above 70°F feel oppressive.
Do I need location services enabled?
No. While enabling GPS allows the tool to instantly fetch weather for your exact coordinates, you can simply type any city, town, or ZIP code into the search bar to retrieve the forecast.
Can I switch between Celsius and Fahrenheit?
Yes. The settings menu allows you to instantly toggle between Celsius and Fahrenheit, as well as change wind speeds (mph, km/h) and pressure units (hPa, mmHg).
Why does my local forecast differ from the regional forecast?
Microclimates caused by local geography, such as mountains, lakes, or dense urban areas, can cause significant deviations in temperature and precipitation from regional models. High-resolution localized forecasts account for these variables better.
Why does rain probability say 90%?
A 90% rain probability means there is a 9 out of 10 chance that measurable rain will fall at your specific location during that time frame. It does not necessarily mean it will rain 90% of the day.
Why is my actual weather different from the forecast?
Weather models predict conditions for a broad grid (often 10km by 10km). If a rain shower is highly localized, it might hit your neighbor's house but miss yours, making the forecast seem incorrect.
Why did yesterday's forecast change?
Meteorologists continuously update forecasts as new satellite and radar data is ingested into supercomputers. A slight shift in wind direction can drastically change where a storm tracks, altering the forecast overnight.
What does wind gust mean?
While average wind speed measures the sustained wind over a period, a wind gust is a sudden, brief increase in the speed of the wind, often lasting less than 20 seconds. Gusts are what cause tree damage during storms.
Why do forecasts become less accurate after 7 days?
The atmosphere obeys the laws of chaos theory (the butterfly effect). A tiny error in measuring current conditions will compound exponentially over time, making exact predictions beyond 7 days highly unreliable.
What is a microclimate?
A microclimate is a small, restricted area whose climate differs from the surrounding region. Examples include coastal breezes keeping beaches cooler than inland areas, or cities retaining heat (urban heat island).
How accurate is Open-Meteo?
Open-Meteo is highly accurate because it does not attempt to reinvent weather forecasting; instead, it provides direct, unadulterated access to the world's most advanced national weather models like NOAA (US) and DWD (Germany).
What is ECMWF?
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) runs one of the world's most respected global weather models. It is widely considered the gold standard for medium-range forecasts.
What is the GFS model?
The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a mathematical weather model produced by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in the United States. It updates four times a day and tracks global weather patterns.
Why is humidity important?
High humidity prevents your sweat from evaporating efficiently, making it harder for your body to cool down. This is why 90°F in high humidity feels much worse than 90°F in dry heat.
What is Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE)?
CAPE measures the amount of energy available to create thunderstorms. High CAPE values indicate an unstable atmosphere where severe thunderstorms, hail, or even tornadoes could develop.
What does a low pressure system mean?
A low pressure area usually brings clouds, wind, and precipitation. Because air rises in a low pressure system, it cools and condenses into clouds and rain.
What does a high pressure system mean?
High pressure systems generally bring dry, clear, and calm weather. The descending air suppresses cloud formation, leading to sunny days and clear nights.
What is visibility?
Visibility measures the greatest distance at which an object can be seen and identified. Fog, heavy rain, snow, and smoke can severely reduce visibility, impacting driving and aviation.
Why do we need different weather models?
Different models excel at different things. Global models (like GFS) are great for long-term trends, while high-resolution local models (like HRRR or ICON-D2) are better at predicting exactly when a thunderstorm will hit your neighborhood.
How often is the weather data updated?
The open data models typically update every 1 to 6 hours, depending on the specific model being used. Our tool fetches the most recent run available via Open-Meteo.
What is the difference between rain and showers?
Rain is generally steady and widespread, caused by large-scale weather systems. Showers are brief, intermittent, and localized, often caused by convective clouds like cumulus.
What is freezing rain?
Freezing rain is rain that falls as a liquid but freezes immediately upon hitting a cold surface (like a road or power line), creating dangerous ice glazes.
What is sleet?
Sleet consists of small ice pellets that bounce when hitting the ground. It occurs when snowflakes melt in a warm layer of air, then refreeze before reaching the ground.
How is snow measured?
Snow is measured using a snowboard (a flat, white surface) and a ruler, or by melting the snow to determine its liquid water equivalent. On average, 10 inches of snow melts into 1 inch of water.
What causes wind?
Wind is caused by air moving from areas of high pressure to areas of low pressure. The larger the pressure difference, the stronger the wind.
What is a weather front?
A weather front is a boundary separating two different air masses. Cold fronts often bring thunderstorms and cooler temperatures, while warm fronts bring steady rain followed by milder weather.
Why is the sky blue?
The sky is blue due to Rayleigh scattering. Gases and particles in Earth's atmosphere scatter short-wavelength light (blue and violet) more than long-wavelength light (red and yellow).
What is the jet stream?
The jet stream is a fast-flowing, narrow air current found in the upper atmosphere. It strongly influences weather patterns by steering storm systems across the globe.
What is relative humidity?
Relative humidity is the amount of water vapor present in the air compared to the maximum amount the air could hold at that specific temperature. Warm air can hold more moisture than cold air.
What is a heat wave?
A heat wave is a prolonged period of excessively hot weather, often accompanied by high humidity. Definitions vary by region, but it generally means temperatures are well above historical averages.
What is wind chill?
Wind chill is the perceived decrease in air temperature felt by the body on exposed skin due to the flow of air. It accelerates heat loss from the body.
Are weather apps always right?
No. Weather apps rely on computer models that cannot account for every tiny atmospheric variable. While highly accurate for the next 48 hours, long-term predictions should be treated as probabilities, not certainties.
Can earthquakes be predicted?
No. Neither the USGS nor any other scientists have ever predicted a major earthquake. We can only calculate the probability of a future earthquake occurring.
What is magnitude?
Magnitude is a number that characterizes the relative size of an earthquake, based on measurement of the maximum motion recorded by a seismograph.
What is depth?
Earthquake depth refers to the depth at which the earthquake initiates (the hypocenter). Shallow quakes are typically more damaging than deep ones.
Why are aftershocks common?
Aftershocks are the earth's crust readjusting to the stress changes caused by the mainshock. They are entirely normal and can continue for months or even years.
Why are some earthquakes not felt?
An earthquake might not be felt if its magnitude is too low (usually under 2.5 or 3.0), or if its epicenter is very deep or far away from populated areas.
How far can an earthquake be felt?
This depends on the magnitude and depth of the earthquake, as well as the local geology. Soft soils can amplify shaking over larger distances than solid bedrock.
What is the Ring of Fire?
The Ring of Fire is a horseshoe-shaped belt of intense volcanic and seismic activity that borders the Pacific Ocean, where most of the world's earthquakes occur.
What is a fault line?
A fault is a fracture or zone of fractures between two blocks of rock. Earthquakes occur when these blocks move relative to each other.
What is the difference between an epicenter and a hypocenter?
The hypocenter is the point within the earth where an earthquake rupture starts. The epicenter is the point directly above it at the surface of the Earth.
Can animals predict earthquakes?
There is no scientific evidence that animals can predict earthquakes. Some animals may feel the initial, faster-traveling P-waves before humans feel the stronger S-waves, giving the illusion of prediction.
What causes a tsunami?
Most tsunamis are caused by large earthquakes on the sea floor when slabs of rock move past each other suddenly, displacing a massive amount of water.
Are there more earthquakes now than before?
No. The USGS states that the frequency of major earthquakes has remained relatively constant. However, we have more seismic instruments deployed globally, so we detect more small earthquakes.
What is a seismograph?
A seismograph is an instrument that measures and records details of earthquakes, such as force and duration.
Can weather cause earthquakes?
No. There is no such thing as 'earthquake weather'. Earthquakes are driven by tectonic forces deep underground, completely disconnected from atmospheric weather.
What does it mean if the depth is negative?
A negative depth means the earthquake occurred above sea level, typically inside a mountain or volcano.
What is liquefaction?
Liquefaction occurs when water-saturated sandy soils temporarily lose strength and act like a liquid during strong earthquake shaking, causing buildings to sink or tilt.
How long does an earthquake last?
Most earthquakes last only a few seconds to a minute. Very large earthquakes, like the magnitude 9.1 in Sumatra in 2004, can last for up to 10 minutes.
Can fracking cause earthquakes?
Yes. The disposal of wastewater from fracking and other oil/gas operations into deep wells can induce earthquakes by increasing pressure along ancient fault lines.
What is the Richter scale?
The Richter scale is an outdated method for measuring earthquake magnitude. Today, the Moment Magnitude scale (Mw) is used by the USGS as it is more accurate for large earthquakes.
What is the largest earthquake ever recorded?
The largest recorded earthquake was a magnitude 9.5 in Chile on May 22, 1960. It caused a massive tsunami that traveled across the Pacific Ocean.